How I sized down through the last 14% drawdown
We just came through a 14% account drawdown and I want to walk through how I handled position sizing, because this is where most people either panic-sell or double down; both wrong.
First: 14% is well within the historical drawdown range for this system. Backtests showed deeper. So step one was not treating it as an emergency. A drawdown inside the expected envelope is information that the system is behaving normally, not a signal to act.
Second: I keep sizing as a fixed fraction of the account, recalculated only at my quarterly review; not reactively mid-drawdown. That means my size naturally shrinks as the account shrinks, which is exactly the auto-protection you want. I did not manually cut size in a panic.
Third: I wrote down beforehand what would actually make me stop; sustained edge decay across many trades, not a single bad stretch. Having that written rule kept me from inventing a reason to quit at the bottom.
We're already most of the way back. The drawdown felt awful and changed nothing about the process. That's the point.
Replies(3)
Pinning this mentally. 'A drawdown inside the expected envelope is information, not an emergency.' The written stop-rule is what separates traders who survive from those who don't.
This is the post I needed to read before my first real drawdown. Writing my own stop-rule down tonight.
Fixed-fraction sizing recalculated only quarterly is underrated. It removes the single most dangerous decision from the worst possible moment.
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